Пороговые особенности в исторической эволюции экономики США: уместны ли параллели между рубежом 1930-х – 1940-х годов и современностью?
Аннотация
На основе использования метода исторических аналогий анализируется ситуация, сложившаяся в американской экономике и обществе в начале 2020-х годов. Она характеризуется беспрецедентным сочетанием наиболее глубокого после окончания Второй мировой войны экономического кризиса, вызванного коронавирусной пандемией, и острейшими внутриполитическими потрясениями, повлекшими обсуждение в американском обществе перспектив к сползанию страны к гражданской междоусобице. Складывающаяся в США в третьем десятилетии XXI в. ситуация анализируется с представлением о приближении американского общества к пороговому периоду в их историко-экономической эволюции, который может ознаменовать собой коренную трансформацию алгоритма функционирования всех общественных сфер — от технико-экономической до духовно-ценностной. «Пороговые» закономерности и особенности развития американской экономики и общества основаны на скачкообразной форме их дальнейшего функционирования, которые могут «перебросить» США в фундаментально иное качественное измерение. В прошлом США уже проходили подобного рода порог в период 1929–1945 гг., который также подробно проанализирован как создающий эмпирический аналог для понимания особенностей прохождения «второго» порога.
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